This is not a political blog, and I refrain from writing political commentaries here. I do not know the composition of the subscribers, nor do I know their political bent. The reason I am making an exception and writing my thoughts on the presidential election is its extraordinary nature. Comments are welcome, as well as sharing the post. If you decide to comment, please do so after reading the entire post. Talk is good, so long as we maintain civility and accept that disagreement should not be disagreeable. And, we must avoid the toxic trilogy, fear, anger, and hate.
We All Got It Wrong, Even Trump
The election is over, finally, and the person most people thought would lose badly has become the president-elect of the United States. Following the polls, done by all kinds of research organizations yielded results that totally missed the mark.
On the days leading to the election and even the election day, many Republican strategists were predicting Clinton to get 322 votes, over and above the required 270. All this is certainly disappointing to me and people who share my political and social philosophies, disconcerting and worrying in many ways.
But, for me, this is not the time to give in to fear, anger, and hate, the toxic trilogy, for then I will become just like Trump supporters who were particularly charged by this trilogy. And it is time for reflection and some lessons.
Had the results been the other way around, I am sure the Trump supporters could have said similar things except for perhaps the toxic trilogy. Here are my reflections, thoughts, lessons to take, and what may come in the months and years ahead.
Driven by Fear, Anger, and Hate
- There is enough fear, anger, and hate, no reason to add more to it. They create a highly toxic mixture that hurts the people carrying them as well as those to whom they are aimed.
- Political polls, even the best, even the opposing party polls for your party candidate can fail miserably. The poll that counts is the vote we cast.
- Media has fed the fuel of this toxic trilogy, more or less live, with an apparent lack of editorial filtering. It is impossible for me to even think of, let alone suggest, controlling freedom of expression and freedom of the press, even when the quality of reporting may go way below par. But, we have the option, perhaps responsibility to turn off the TV and communicate to them our displeasure. And, I am not talking only about Fox News, The Media, in general, have acted very irresponsibly and without journalistic principles and standards. We have heard much fear, anger, and hate.
- There is a great deal of difference between “facts” and “information,” the latter may be incorrect, inaccurate, or even a lie. Regrettably, it has become easier to accept the “information” presented by “people we agree with,” with no questioning. This is not a Republican failing, it applies almost equally to Democrats as well.
- Social media is a great vehicle to carry “information” whether true or not. Simply engaging in an online argument has not changed enough minds. Truth be known (what am I talking about!) I have tried to present facts and reasons, which were rebutted by “beliefs” not facts. Often with angry retorts.
- Ignorance spreads faster and easier than reason, especially among those with little or no critical thinking and among those who have been unwilling to research the facts at their sources. Add to this a little anger and hate, it becomes supercharged.
- When we are upset with the party we belong to or support, abandoning it and casting a “protest” vote is not productive. Instead of disengaging from the party and attacking your own party’s candidate, we may need to engage more and focus on the election at hand.
- Both major parties have either totally abandoned their core principles and/or miserably failed to clearly communicate them as the backbone of their struggle.
- Creating a parallel movement alongside a party’s core principles does not guarantee its success unless it is done for the party, not for a candidate.
- “Bernie or bust” may actually yield “bust” and that might have contributed to making “other” voices heard than yours. Anger of a loss may lead to more losses.
- Decades in politics bring a great deal of experience but also come with all the mud slung and stuck on the person, whether for good reason or based on falsehoods.
- We don’t have to “like” a candidate but “like ideas” of a candidate and what those ideas may bring or have brought.
- Finding people, in this case, Hillary, “a flawed candidate” has become fashionable and widespread because it has been repeated so many times and has become a sign of showing a clear and unbiased mind. Yet, the reasons cited were mostly not rooted in truth, just “information” that has been properly shaped and packaged based on falsehoods.
- Truth does not trump lies, at least perhaps in the short run. Shown an event and its distorted view side by side, people will accept the one coming from the person they support, not the version they see as happening. Perception is the reality, and those who control what and how we perceive will create an alternate reality for us if we are not mindful of it.
- Politics is a contact sport, it has many ugly sides, perhaps beyond ugly. The rules of the game are hard to change in the mid-game. Taking the high road may be but is not always a good strategy. Expecting that only creates disappointment and dissatisfaction in the minds expecting to see the high road.
- Institutions that are supposed to refrain from engaging in politics may throw themselves on the stage and create an unfair situation for the election, not only for the candidates but for the process itself.
- Early voting is a double-edged sword. We will not know how much the voters between Comey #1, and Comey #2 interventions might have been influenced by the first burst of “information” put out on the election stage. Just as well, we will not know how much the second Comey intervention might have cost the Republican candidate.
- This kind of intervention can and most probably has altered the perception of and the trust in the main investigative body of the federal government, the FBI.
What to Expect
What to expect? Hard to predict the future, but one thing I am certain of is that some, many, or even all of these may prove to be wrong!
- It is hard to see exactly what will happen, but the future is not very promising, at least from my vantage point and others who share similar views.
- The president-elect will spend a good deal of time initially doing damage control to make himself somewhat presentable on the domestic and world stage. Simply being supported by his own party will not be enough inside or outside the United States.
- His training will soon begin, and he will find that the work in the Oval Office is far different from the work in the Trump Tower.
- He will likely appoint his cronies to important cabinet positions as he recently stated, Giuliani for attorney general, and Gingrich as secretary of state. They too are “seasoned” politicians with experience and mud stuck on them. They will try to hide the mud by fast-talking and browbeating the media as they have shown they can do. I find it hard to fathom an attorney general who denies documented facts.
- The world stage will be divided into those who embrace the president-elect and those who will try to avoid him. The countries whose ruling leaders with similar traits to Donald Trump will rejoice for the new member of their club with a big stick in his hand, mainly uncontrollable mouth and tweet fingers.
- There will be a series of bills to undo what previous Democratic governments have done. Affordable Care Act may be high on the list but millions of people using it will not make it an easy task. There will be others that will be reversed, and regulations on banks, financial institutions, and pharmaceutical companies will be relaxed. These will likely be done as propaganda pieces because of their high visibility and emotional charge.
- Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and their beneficiaries may see changes that will negatively affect their lives. Ironically, there will be a large number of Trump supporters in these groups that will be squeezed. These fall under “the entitlement programs” umbrella, a term I find used with negative connotations when used in some circles.
- Stock markets have already shown a good deal of drop, it may continue for a while. But as a general trend, stock markets have an upward trend, probably because the big stockholders do not want their stock values to erode that much.
- There may be lower taxes for the rich, but not much tax benefit for the middle and lower-income families. We may have entered the second Trickle Down, the supply-side economic era, knowing full well supported by data and facts, that the first trickle-down economic policies failed to produce the supposed benefits for the population.
- The president-elect may do all or most of the above, true to his word, and hurt millions of people. Or he may walk back on most and show his true colors of speaking false promises to get votes, also known as “lying.”
- GDP, the gross national product increases are not good measures of how well a country is doing. Economic gains are meaningless unless they are brought down to benefit the masses. Simply looking at how much we are producing, without considering how much people can afford to consume, is like running a marathon on one foot and expecting to win.
- If some, or any of the points above come true, they will seriously squeeze a large portion of the population. Could that negatively affect the elections two years from now and then two years after that? It may or may not. People seem to be willing to vote against their self-interests as they have shown in this election. But there is a possibility that the squeezed masses may yield a different election result creating a better balance of powers. There lies the hope!
- Democrats need to regroup, not only the political leaders but those who consider themselves Democrat, to minimize the internal backlash and splintering. Is electing a Democrat more important than electing the candidate we support? This is worth pondering for all Democrats
- Any segment of the population who may find new powers in following some ideals will have to learn how to use that power instead of using it to make their voices heard. We have all seen that protesting your own party is akin to cutting the nose to spite the face.
- I have never understood the appeal of “outsider” and not being a “professional politician.” First, one has to be “inside” to govern. Knowing how the inside really works is an advantage. Second, why are we willing to accept that a non-professional politician will do an excellent job while we will not accept a non-professional surgeon to perform even the simplest surgery on our bodies? But, as I said earlier, ignorance seems to spread faster than reason.
- There are systemic problems in American politics, perhaps as seen in many other countries. Until we see them, accept them, and fix them, changing the people will not make much difference. Just as you cannot fix your car’s engine by simply changing the brand of oil you put in it, you cannot fix politics by changing the people. The systemic problems need to be understood, and some reasonable and productive options to fix them must be the subject of the next round of conversations. We seem to get too bogged down in tactical fights when the strategies are wrong. We are trying to add synthetic motor oil to our failing car, or add pigskin seat covers and expect it to run better.
No Fear, No Anger, No Hate
No fear, no anger, no hate! Cool heads will prevail, eventually! We need more conversation, not less; more talk among friends who may think differently from us, not only among the like-minded; need to learn and exercise being civil in all dialog, not screaming and yelling; accept the possibility we may be wrong, instead of insisting we are right. But, we must allow the facts to be facts, no distortion, no spin. Opinions can be spun, but facts cannot be!
My thoughts are on record now, I have many opportunities to be wrong, and you should call me on them. But, in the meantime, I stick my neck out counting on the possibility that some of you may take the time to think about some of these issues. That makes it worth being wrong while doing the right thing.
Take care, good care.
Markus
Thank you, Cemal,, for your well formulated statement to contain the damage that we have now and to provide a basis for hope.
A. Cemal Ekin
Markus, I believe the biggest cause of the election fiasco was lack of communication on many parts. I am not sure how to facilitate more of it, but I firmly believe that it is much needed. Time will present the path, I hope.
Thank you for stopping by,
Cemal
Joe Flowers
Professor Ekin,
Wow. What a stimulating read.
” But there is a possibility that the squeezed masses may yield a different election result creating a better balance of powers. There lies the hope!” <—- This is my same hope that I have expressed in other places.
For example, the KKK has sent out a flyer that expresses that they should hold Trump to his promises. Listening to interviews with Trump supporters on NPR, one said that he thought good economic effects would occur in "a year or a little longer". I scoffed in my car. The other said that he expected Trump to do what he said he was going to do. One made the comment that if the jobs don't come back (Steal worker jobs) in his community, then in 4 years they will elect someone else. Perhaps this is also a moment to point out that maybe all those propaganda outlets were lying to them.
To me, this is my hope.
If Trump can be held accountable in his supporters' eyes (and hopefully all scapegoats removed), then he is vulnerable to very low approval numbers. (Which is a little scary because he may be likely to do something else insane just to boost his approval ratings.)
On the what is deeper problem.
I think a lot of the white working class believe(ed) that they could jet a job and work at the same place for 40 years and retire with a good pension. Those days are long gone. But, instead of trying to get retrained, they have scapegoated the problem. The folks I know that believe this way seem to think, sometimes out loud, that capitalism is the created thing since ever.
But even deeper, which may never be breached, I don't think these folks have reached down deep enough in themselves to be able to express what they are really feeling and deal with that instead of scapegoating. For example, "I am scared to death I cannot support my family. How and what can I do to find another job which will provide that?" Perhaps moving people and their families around to where the training and jobs are would help.
Just a few random thoughts of my own.
Best wishes, and Thank you!
Joe
A. Cemal Ekin
Thank you Joe, for sharing your thoughts and presenting new ideas.
Cemal
Eugenia Marks
Thank you. The election was a reflection of a country that has failed to excite its people about knowledge based on experience and facts. but instead offers the fiction of entertainment to salve with immediate gratification. We don’t trust that our own lives are real, We look at people who struggles as “losers.” We look to “reality” TV and celebrity to model our lives. We focus on ourselves and not on others.
The call is to continue to grow and guide ourselves and our young towards the reality of experience, engagement, public dialogue, and compassion.
Laura Landon sent me your link. Thank you.
.
A. Cemal Ekin
Eugenia, thank you for your comment. This was Democrat’s election to lose and they did a fine job, leaders and voters alike. But, after every dark night, the sun rises again.
Thanks for visiting, and thank Laura for directing you here.
Cemal
Eugenia Marks
I write from an insulated and naive place. I engage, but I don’t come into contact with the virulent opposition. However, I have just had a conversation with a Brown professor who told me that anti-abortion pickets have appeared on campus, that ugly words about women’s body parts were used, and that the N-word was used for taunting, emboldened by the election.
If we hear hate language, how are we prepared to respond? The reality of our country’s election needs our ability to speak and act with effective non-violence towards the hateful element that has been unleashed by the perceived endorsement of the election.
Many of us are secularists. Does advice from religious sources resonate?
“Speak to that of god in every person.”
“Let the words of my mouth and meditations of my heart be acceptable in thy sight.”
“Let he/she who is without guilt throw the first stone.”
“A soft answer turneth away wrath.”
Psychology also provides a frame. As a beginning I offer the following site for your exploration: DiversityInc and a specific article. (edited for easy read and click, ACE)
Let’s continue, strengthening our paths and networks. Let us blunt the hate, make inroads into the thinking that causes the hateful words.
We continue to support one another.
Phugu Bluchu III
Thought #1: “…for then I will become just like Trump supporters who were particularly charged by this trilogy.”
Perhaps it might be more accurate to write the same text as: “…for then I will become just like SOME/MANY Trump supporters who were particularly charged by this trilogy.” Otherwise, it seems that such wording is painting any and everyone who voted for the man as being “commandeered by fear, anger, and hate.”
As written, the sentence reads like a bit of a generalization and is possibly on the road to being a “preconceived opinion that is not based on reason, fact or actual experience.”
Words are powerful. I’ve always gotten a laugh when I hear each side of the (any) equation point fingers at the other–as each side uses similar methods (e.g., fear, anger and hate) to rail against the other–and no-one is on the high-road. It’s all as old as time.
Thought #2: Many voters in the United States this election season were equally appalled by the lack of quality–lack of satisfying choices–when comparing available candidates in ANY political party. Some of us even went so far as to have neutral or bi-partisan political signs nailed to their homes as did we: “2016 Everybody Sucks.” (and yes, ultimately we fulfilled our democratic responsibility, and we voted.)
Thought #3: Thanks for a heart-felt post. Well written and thoughtful perspectives.
Cheers!
P.B. III
Cemal Ekin
P.B. III, thank you for stopping by and sharing your thoughts. Your reading of the sentence may make you assume that there is much generalization in “I will become just like Trump supporters who were particularly charged by this trilogy” sentence. I beg to differ, it simply refers to those “who were particularly charged…” and limits the subject. If there were Trump supporters who were not charged by the trilogy, then my statement does not, will not apply to them.
Regarding thought #2, political choices are rarely, if ever, between a flawless candidate and a flawed one; they are all human and have their weaknesses. Therefore the choice we make is always to find the “better” candidate, not the “worse.” Simply arguing “Everybody Sucks” is neither neutral, nor bi-partisan in my opinion, but a cop out. About 50% of the registered voters failed to vote, that is not how democracy supposed to work.
For your thought #3, I thank you again! Take care,
Cemal